economie

The polls have shifted in Kamala Harris’ favor

Kamala Harris is riding a wave of enthusiasm to surge ahead in polling against Donald Trump.

In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 2.7 points, according to an analysis by FiveThirtyEight.

That’s a big jump from the days after Biden exited the race, when Harris only had a 0.8-point average national lead over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight.

In one national poll, conducted by NPR/PBS News/Marist poll and released last week, Harris crept up to a 3-point advantage over Trump in both a horserace and head-to-head matchup. That’s four points up from where Harris was in same poll from shortly after she replaced Biden in the race; Trump at that time had a one-point advantage.

And it’s Black voters, white women with college degrees, and independent women voters who are propelling Harris ahead, the NPR/PBS News/Marist poll found. Her favor with these groups has increased 20 to 30 points since she first took over the Democratic ticket, NPR reported.

Across the board, Harris is doing better than Biden was before he dropped out of the race. In an average of national state-level polling, Harris is doing 7.2 points better when matched up against Trump compared to Biden, according to an analysis by statistician Nate Silver.

All the excitement around Harris’s fresh campaign has infuriated Trump and led Republicans to argue that it’s just a honeymoon phase.

Meanwhile, Harris will hope that her surge in polling isn’t temporary — and that she can ride the wave of momentum through a shortened campaign season and into the White House.

Read the original article on Business Insider

https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-polling-shift-2024-8

economie

The polls have shifted in Kamala Harris’ favor

Kamala Harris is riding a wave of enthusiasm to surge ahead in polling against Donald Trump.

In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 2.7 points, according to an analysis by FiveThirtyEight.

That’s a big jump from the days after Biden exited the race, when Harris only had a 0.8-point average national lead over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight.

In one national poll, conducted by NPR/PBS News/Marist poll and released last week, Harris crept up to a 3-point advantage over Trump in both a horserace and head-to-head matchup. That’s four points up from where Harris was in same poll from shortly after she replaced Biden in the race; Trump at that time had a one-point advantage.

And it’s Black voters, white women with college degrees, and independent women voters who are propelling Harris ahead, the NPR/PBS News/Marist poll found. Her favor with these groups has increased 20 to 30 points since she first took over the Democratic ticket, NPR reported.

Across the board, Harris is doing better than Biden was before he dropped out of the race. In an average of national state-level polling, Harris is doing 7.2 points better when matched up against Trump compared to Biden, according to an analysis by statistician Nate Silver.

All the excitement around Harris’s fresh campaign has infuriated Trump and led Republicans to argue that it’s just a honeymoon phase.

Meanwhile, Harris will hope that her surge in polling isn’t temporary — and that she can ride the wave of momentum through a shortened campaign season and into the White House.

Read the original article on Business Insider

https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-polling-shift-2024-8

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